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Thanks Ken - a very helpful insight into the complexities of the US electoral process. No way I'd place a bet on the outcome!

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On an average of polls, Harris is 1.6%pts up. In 2020 at the same time, Biden was +6.9%pts up. In 2016 at the same time, Clinton was +6%pts up.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

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fascinating

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